Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 75.796475 85.146873 94.696817 105.148491 116.234445 127.613646 140.147732
2025-08-10 61.755445 75.275587 89.692422 106.080110 124.068644 143.101327 164.651521
2025-08-17 52.199051 67.867472 85.136591 105.315761 128.000753 152.493632 180.723703
2025-08-24 45.460795 62.678837 82.220608 105.597927 132.398266 161.805890 196.172738
2025-08-31 39.268990 57.414772 78.607929 104.526787 134.776611 168.449843 208.278723
2025-09-07 35.358210 54.469114 77.352945 105.863905 139.629240 177.651090 223.052174
2025-09-14 32.197541 52.134221 76.569648 107.530377 144.675008 186.923094 237.782565
2025-09-21 28.300778 48.503675 73.917928 106.710739 146.596295 192.436737 248.083089
2025-09-28 24.284321 44.355762 70.333424 104.505250 146.660486 195.623843 255.559224
2025-10-05 23.226986 44.153150 71.714858 108.390211 154.010651 207.323083 272.894004
2025-10-12 21.689191 43.133344 71.931541 110.734732 159.432412 216.709706 287.510784
2025-10-19 19.227814 40.566344 69.946061 110.156490 161.173205 221.649804 296.856508
2025-10-26 16.838545 37.925430 67.750500 109.243997 162.480740 226.091177 305.673079
2025-11-02 15.177299 36.259548 66.792591 109.869264 165.658159 232.756933 317.118958
2025-11-09 13.274520 34.015883 64.891140 109.141717 167.048300 237.194877 325.861866
2025-11-16 11.846221 32.412607 63.802514 109.421276 169.658345 243.078067 336.305753
2025-11-23 10.200096 30.247443 61.771615 108.329299 170.438549 246.664681 343.947777
2025-11-30 9.315762 29.356686 61.569227 109.693893 174.356762 254.098697 356.225317
2025-12-07 8.584133 28.673448 61.633144 111.394710 178.692327 262.040708 369.118899
2025-12-14 7.370096 26.900359 59.930194 110.558220 179.660401 265.761516 376.857436
2025-12-21 6.013204 24.619337 57.298218 108.307127 178.687561 266.998989 381.519206
2025-12-28 5.925216 25.058513 59.013365 112.272152 185.967214 278.607691 398.898420
2026-01-04 5.563576 24.842343 59.644371 114.664401 191.148021 287.577615 413.049772